Official 2010 NFL Betting Thread

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  • strahanfan92
    Meat
    • Aug 2009
    • 5456

    #76
    These are a couple things I've noticed thus far...

    -So far through 2 weeks there have been 13 cases of "small totals" which I quanitfy as over/unders set at anything below 40. These 13 games have resulted in a 10-2-1 record for the UNDER. I would attribute this to defenses being more prepared than offenses through the early going in the NFL when camp breaks, as it takes a little longer for offenses to get the timing between their receivers and QB's to get on track, especially those teams dealing with uncertain/new QB situations. Furthermore, the DOGS in these games are 9-3-1 thus far, including a perfect 6-0 in week 2. Anybody else have any opinions/explanations on this?

    -Another note: the AFC, in my opinion, is the superior conference top to bottom. There have been 7 games between the two conferences and the AFC has gone 4-2-1 ATS. Does anybody have any historical data between the 2 conferences. Between the 2004-2007 seasons, I have it scored 104-73 (58.7%) in favor of AFC, but don't have the last couple years of data on this. There are 8 inter-conference games set for week 3.

    Posted from another forum.

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    • strahanfan92
      Meat
      • Aug 2009
      • 5456

      #77
      What do you guys think about tonight? Saints are the big public pick understandably, I kinda like the 49ers.

      Comment

      • Hitman
        Fist Pumpin to the Oldies
        • Jun 2009
        • 2544

        #78
        I have the Saints -5 and o44.. I think this'll be a blowout much like the Colts vs Giants last night.

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        • Archer
          Go the fuck outside
          • Oct 2008
          • 15303

          #79
          I'm not touching it but it seems like a trap game to me

          49ers +5

          Comment

          • Kuzzy Powers
            Beautiful Like Moses
            • Oct 2008
            • 12542

            #80
            I got the Saints -4 and O 43. I bought the hook from -4.5 late last night, now I see the line is 5, so im pretty happy abt that. I think the Saints win by a TD in a pretty high powered game.

            The over has to be the higher confidence play tho.. MNF factor and a very short total for a Saints game. Looking for that old MNF over trend to show its head again.

            Comment

            • strahanfan92
              Meat
              • Aug 2009
              • 5456

              #81
              Yeah I think I'm gonna bet the over and bet the side at halftime.

              Comment

              • Kuzzy Powers
                Beautiful Like Moses
                • Oct 2008
                • 12542

                #82
                Wow.. great drive by the Niners to save my Over.. massive clutch movements. Didnt bag the spread.. but caught Saints ML @ + money when they went down in the 2nd Q to make up for it. Also had Saints ML parlayed to the Over.. counting my lucky stars I took the ML on it instead of the spread. Only one prop tonight... Alex Smith O 220.5 Yards.. clutched that out on the last drive too. Another productive weekend..

                Comment

                • strahanfan92
                  Meat
                  • Aug 2009
                  • 5456

                  #83
                  49ers ML & Spread, fuck.

                  Comment

                  • mobbdeep1122
                    I just win
                    • May 2009
                    • 1549

                    #84
                    Had Niners and under last night ... mother fucking 2 point conversion fucked me.

                    Comment

                    • strahanfan92
                      Meat
                      • Aug 2009
                      • 5456

                      #85
                      EVERYONE, go HUGGGGEEEEEEE on the Packers/Bears u9.5 1st quarter.. DO IT NOW! I already got 2K on it thinking bout doubling up before the game!

                      Comment

                      • strahanfan92
                        Meat
                        • Aug 2009
                        • 5456

                        #86
                        Originally posted by strahanfan92
                        EVERYONE, go HUGGGGEEEEEEE on the Packers/Bears u9.5 1st quarter.. DO IT NOW! I already got 2K on it thinking bout doubling up before the game!


                        2 GRAND RICHER FUCK YEAHHHHHHHHHHHHH fuck u kuzzy!

                        Comment

                        • JRoZe410
                          Member
                          • Feb 2009
                          • 489

                          #87
                          Originally posted by strahanfan92
                          2 GRAND RICHER FUCK YEAHHHHHHHHHHHHH fuck u kuzzy!
                          lol nice

                          Comment

                          • Kuzzy Powers
                            Beautiful Like Moses
                            • Oct 2008
                            • 12542

                            #88
                            Lol @ ppl believing Strahan. ;)

                            I guess I should update my records after a shitty week.. gotta take the bad with the good.

                            Chiefs ML
                            Bengals -3
                            Falcons/Saints O 47

                            Saints -3
                            Ravens -10
                            Texans -2.5
                            Patriots -8.5 (LIVE PLAY)

                            Eagles ML
                            Raiders +6
                            Chargers/Seahawks O 44

                            Colts/Broncos O 47
                            Eagles/Jags O 44
                            Chargers ML +450 (LIVE PLAY)
                            Dolphins ML

                            Bears ML
                            Bears +3

                            Bears/Packers O 44
                            Jay Cutler O an amount of yards I dont quite remember but he didnt get it


                            Didnt hit up as many props or live plays this wknd cause I wasnt doing very well.. was pretty heavy on Nawlins.. 8-10 overall this wknd.

                            46-21-1 on the year.

                            Comment

                            • for surtain 22
                              Junior Member
                              • Feb 2009
                              • 936

                              #89
                              this week I like Texans -3, Giants -4, Browns +3

                              Comment

                              • Kuzzy Powers
                                Beautiful Like Moses
                                • Oct 2008
                                • 12542

                                #90
                                Originally posted by for surtain 22
                                Giants -4


                                Worst line of the wknd.. cant believe Vegas is giving the Giants 4.

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