League has Submitted Proposal for Lottery Change

[TeflonDonny]

http://grantland.com/the-triangle/nba-lottery-reform-is-coming/

The proposal, which dominated the lottery-reform discussion in league meetings this week, is essentially an attempt to squeeze the lottery odds at either extreme toward a more balanced system in which all 14 teams have a relatively similar chance at the no. 1 pick, per sources familiar with the proposal.

Under the current system, the team with the worst record has a 25 percent chance of snagging the no. 1 pick, perhaps the most valuable asset in the entire NBA. The team with the second-worst record has a 19.9 percent chance of winning the no. 1 pick, and the third-worst team enters the lottery with a 15.6 percent chance of moving up to the top slot. The odds decline from there, with the final five teams in the lottery — the teams with the five best records — each having a 1.1 percent or worse chance of moving up to no. 1.


The league’s proposal gives at least the four worst teams the same chance at winning the no. 1 pick: approximately an identical 11 percent shot for each club. The odds decline slowly from there, with the team in the next spot holding a 10 percent chance. The lottery team with the best record will have a 2 percent chance of leaping to the no. 1 pick, up from the the minuscule 0.5 percent chance it has under the current system.


The proposal also calls for the drawing of the first six picks via the Ping-Pong ball lottery, sources say. The current lottery system actually involves the drawing of only the top three selections. The rest of the lottery goes in order of record, from worst to best, after the top-three drawing is over.

The league needs to do something so we don't have another 76ers situation anytime soon.

 

[MrBill]

I'm not sure if that is the right solution or not but agreed that something needs to be done.

 

[the Brain]

My solution is to base the draft order on the last 3 seasons. You can't tank for 3 years.

 

[Senser81]

My solution is to base the draft order on the last 3 seasons. You can't tank for 3 years.

There would be an even greater incentive to go 0-82, because you would be benefitting from that terrible record for 3 years if a rolling 3-year average is used, not just the upcoming year.

 

[Senser81]

http://grantland.com/the-triangle/nba-lottery-reform-is-coming/



The league needs to do something so we don't have another 76ers situation anytime soon.

The real issue is the hard cap and the number of teams. There aren't nearly enough top level players to staff all the teams in the NBA, and the hard cap makes it difficult for teams to improve through FA and also burdens the teams with bad contracts that they can't get rid of. So the only way a team like the Sixers can improve is to get a top draft pick.

Instead of fixing the actual problem, the NBA is talking about ping pong balls. Sounds like Silver is picking up where Stern left off.

 

[the Brain]

There would be an even greater incentive to go 0-82, because you would be benefitting from that terrible record for 3 years if a rolling 3-year average is used, not just the upcoming year.

I thin that possibility is highly unlikely. Most tanking is due to people wanting to position themselves for a particular year. They see a star or strong class & they stink it up. NBA teams aren't going to suck on purpose for that "can't miss" soph in HS.

 

[kingbryk]

Why NCAA basketball is more enjoyable to watch than the NBA. If your team is bad they will be bad for to long, You can't build a team though the draft oviously since the players are not NBA ready for 3 years and by year 4 the players leave for the money or resign for huge deals that makes the team so weak they cant even field a decent team. I love my Cavs but i hate the fact if they some how get LOVE it creates a team of 3 superstars and the rest SHIT. Thats not even really enjoyable to watch. NBA lottery is fun to watch but really adds nothing to the game. It's a side show at best. Id rather see a 1 on 1 game of horse for the 1st pick .

 

[Xixak]

Why NCAA basketball is more enjoyable to watch than the NBA. If your team is bad they will be bad for to long, You can't build a team though the draft oviously since the players are not NBA ready for 3 years and by year 4 the players leave for the money or resign for huge deals that makes the team so weak they cant even field a decent team. I love my Cavs but i hate the fact if they some how get LOVE it creates a team of 3 superstars and the rest SHIT. Thats not even really enjoyable to watch. NBA lottery is fun to watch but really adds nothing to the game. It's a side show at best. Id rather see a 1 on 1 game of horse for the 1st pick .

Yeah, no it isn't.