Liriano throws first no hitter of season

[FirstTimer]

VORP

Excuse me.

[FedEx227]

Maybe when someone has a high BAPIP, it just means he hit well that year. Everyone assumes he benfitted from bleeders and 'luck'. I don't buy it. On the flip side, a low BAPIP may not be bad luck, but actually bad contact.

I think you're looking at BABIP intoo much of a small or year-by-year window, you shouldn't do that.

It's a noramlizing stat, it's not meant to be looked at just as a 1 year deal. More times then not a good players BABIP will normalize or at least a trend will begin to exist with most players. Where BABIP throws up a red flag (and you can not buy it but every major league team does) is when a player with a historically establishd BABIP line goes way above or way beyond what he normally does.

With that being said, even the best players tend to hover around .300. The only players that are significantly higher then that on a yearly basis are guys with either ridiculous line drive rates (and more times then not they become home run hitters as they mature) or fast guys that can outrun grounders.

I sort of get what you mean and that is true, but that in a small way still deals with "luck" and bounce back. If someone like Nick Swisher has a ridiculous low BABIP one year after establishing career norms with a slightly higher BABIP there's a very good chance at his age with his background that he "bounces back" whether he was unlucky or had a mediocre year at the plate.

[manchild24]

Fuck Liriano. Dropped him from my team last week with his beautiful 7+ ERA

[KnightNoles]

Fuck Liriano. Dropped him from my team last week with his beautiful 7+ ERA

I'm rooting for the guy but...

don't worry, he won't continue to miss bats very often