PECOTA Projections from Baseball Prospectus

[Villain]

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/

[Goober]

Play in game for the wildcard play in game in both leagues! That would be awesome!

[Warner2BruceTD]

Blue Jays fans have to be let down by this, assuming they put any stock in it to begin with.

[Warner2BruceTD]

How accurate has this shit been over, say, the last five seasons?

[Warner2BruceTD]

Also, Cubs hitters report to spring training a week before opening day.

[SuperKevin]

Any projections that keep the Braves and Cardinals out of the postseason are fine by me.

[Villain]

Blue Jays fans have to be let down by this, assuming they put any stick in it to begin with.

I'm not sure that PECOTA knows how to handle RA Dickey.

[Villain]

Any projections that keep the Braves and Cardinals out of the postseason are fine by me.

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/

Braves 35.6%, Cardinals 39.3%.

[FedEx227]

How accurate has this shit been over, say, the last five seasons?

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=13403

Not entirely the data range you were looking for but a decent sample size earlier in the decade.

[NAHSTE]

Yeah I'm sure the Braves will only be 2 games better than the Mets and Indians this season.

[EmpireWF]

Here's how they did with their 2012 predictions.

2012

ALE
NYY - spot on
BOS - 23 games off
Tampa - 2 games off
TOR - 6 games off
BAL - 22 games off

ALC
DET - 3 games off
CLE - 24 games off
CHW - 10 games off
MIN - 5 games off
KC - 2 games off

ALW
TEX - 5 games off
LAA - 2 games off
OAK - 17 games off
SEA - 3 games off

NLE
PHI - 7 games off
ATL - 9 games off
MIA - 16 games off
WAS - 13 games off
NYM - 1 game difference

NLC
STL - spot on
CIN - 11 games off
MIL - 3 games off
CHC - 11 games off
PIT - 8 games off
HOU - 6 games off

NLW
SF - 10 games off
ARI - 2 games off
COL - 16 games off
SD - 2 games off
LAD - 10 games off

[Villain]

They project Billingsley to only pitch 90-some innings. Beckett with 3.17 ERA.

[Glenbino]

I really don't see the Mariners winning that many games.

[Villain]

How accurate has this shit been over, say, the last five seasons?

Nailed this one.

[Youk]

They really have the NL East packed closer together than it should be. The Mets minus a Cy Young winner, will gain 6 wins over last year.