Predict Ryan Howard's numbers, will bump in 6 months

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  • Warner2BruceTD
    2011 Poster Of The Year
    • Mar 2009
    • 26142

    Predict Ryan Howard's numbers, will bump in 6 months

    This site loves to pick on Ryan Howard. Let's have some fun with him.

    Post his 2013 slash line & counting stat totals.

    .248/.329/.500, 38 HR, 101 RBI, 85 R

    I predict a big power year. His HR% really didn't dip when he came back last year, and he's hit several HR's off of lefties in the spring.
  • Youk
    Posts too much
    • Feb 2009
    • 7998

    #2
    Originally posted by Warner2BruceTD
    This site loves to pick on Ryan Howard. Let's have some fun with him.

    Post his 2013 slash line & counting stat totals.

    .248/.329/.500, 38 HR, 101 RBI, 85 R

    I predict a big power year. His HR% really didn't dip when he came back last year, and he's hit several HR's off of lefties in the spring.
    That sounds about right to me, except I would go with maybe 30 HR, 80 R, but around .245-.250 BA, just over 100 RBI, maybe a .340 OBP, obviously a lower SLG than you have (.475ish)

    So then:

    .245/.340/.475, 30 HR, 101 RBI, 80 R

    Comment

    • Pitty
      Death, Taxes, Jeff Capel
      • Feb 2009
      • 7541

      #3
      Depends on the year Domonic Brown has, with that variable, if Brown is hitting as well as he has in Spring and Howard is protected, I'll say between .255-.265 with 40-45 HR's, if Brown flops and there is no protection, .240, 34 HR's.

      Comment

      • MVPete
        Old School
        • Mar 2008
        • 17500

        #4
        Originally posted by Pitty
        Depends on the year Domonic Brown has, with that variable, if Brown is hitting as well as he has in Spring and Howard is protected, I'll say between .255-.265 with 40-45 HR's, if Brown flops and there is no protection, .240, 34 HR's.


        .260/.350//480 30/95/85

        Comment

        • Goober
          Needs a hobby
          • Feb 2009
          • 12271

          #5
          I am withholding my prediction until we know whether or not Yuneske Betancourt will make the team. I think it's impossible to project Howard's numbers until we know whether or not Yuni will be there to get on base ahead of him and give him those RBI opportunities.

          Comment

          • Goober
            Needs a hobby
            • Feb 2009
            • 12271

            #6
            .245/.315/.460 28 HRs, 80 runs, 95 RBIs.

            No where close to being worth 5 WAR.

            It looks like you guys are expecting his walk rate to return to his career average, which I think is unrealistic.

            Comment

            • shag773
              Senior Member
              • Jul 2009
              • 2721

              #7
              .260/.350//480 36/110/85

              I expect a bounce back year. He seems locked in right now.

              Comment

              • Rudi
                #CyCueto
                • Nov 2008
                • 9905

                #8
                .263/.360/.487. 43HR 107RBI 83R

                Comment

                • Warner2BruceTD
                  2011 Poster Of The Year
                  • Mar 2009
                  • 26142

                  #9
                  I thought I was shading a bit optimistic on the OBA, but only gob has come in lower.

                  Here is Bill James: .251/.344./.494, 36 HR, 82 R, 102 RBI

                  He's bullish on the OBA too.

                  Comment

                  • dell71
                    Enter Sandman
                    • Mar 2009
                    • 23919

                    #10
                    Hmmm...I'll go .260/.350/.500, 32 HR, 80 R, 100 RBI

                    Comment

                    • Primetime
                      Thank You Prince
                      • Nov 2008
                      • 17526

                      #11
                      I'm gonna go with an injury riddled year in which his numbers do not qualify.

                      Comment

                      • NAHSTE
                        Probably owns the site
                        • Feb 2009
                        • 22233

                        #12
                        At the 1/4 point, here's what ZIPS projects for year's end:

                        .243/.308/.450, 23 HR, 88 RBI

                        Comment

                        • Villain
                          [REDACTED]
                          • May 2011
                          • 7768

                          #13
                          [REDACTED]

                          Comment

                          • NAHSTE
                            Probably owns the site
                            • Feb 2009
                            • 22233

                            #14
                            He'll have surgery on his knee, so the book is probably closed on this thread.

                            .269/.319/.465, 11 HR, 34 R, 43 ribeyes

                            Edit - seeing 6-8 weeks recovery time, so he may return this year.

                            Comment

                            • Warner2BruceTD
                              2011 Poster Of The Year
                              • Mar 2009
                              • 26142

                              #15
                              Originally posted by NAHSTE
                              Edit - seeing 6-8 weeks recovery time, so he may return this year.
                              Yeah, but even if he does, after rehab and everything else, his numbers wont even approach the least optimistic projections here.

                              Comment

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