I put this together, and figured I would share. Using fangraphs team WAR, and a replacement level of 47.7 wins, I calculated the expected win total for every MLB team in 2013. Based on the expected win totals, the playoffs would have been:
AL
Redsox
Tigers
Rangers
Wildcard: Rays and Athletics
NL
Dodgers
Braves
Cardinals
Wildcard: Pirates and Reds
AL
Redsox
Tigers
Rangers
Wildcard: Rays and Athletics
NL
Dodgers
Braves
Cardinals
Wildcard: Pirates and Reds
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