Memphis will not offer Hollins contract extension

[FedEx227]

A lot of times GMs don't look at the full picture behind advanced metrics.

Yes Rudy Gay was somewhat inefficient, but now that he's gone you have 15-17 shots to redistribute a game. Marc Gasol, Z-Bo and Conley are all sub-50% shooters. If you increase their shooting volume (which you now have to with Gay gone), their efficiency only decreases. You also can't just give those shots to Tayshaun Prince because he will perform horribly.

This is why Conley only shot 38% from the field in the playoffs and Gasol dropped from 49 to 45% (which is not good at all for a center). You can't just take away a moderately inefficient player and expect your team's efficiency to go up... not many players can shoot over 40% on 17 shots a game. It's like saying taking Iverson off Philly would've made them better. Are you now gonna ask Aaron McKie to put up 20 shots a game?


Advanced Metrics make way more sense in baseball because it's more about the individual and not really how the individual's stats fit into a team concept. You try to play moneyball in the NBA and you're gonna get burned. The Grizzlies imo would've lost in round 1 if not for Blake's injury, and I doubt they would've beaten OKC with Westbrook (even Houston almost beat them with RW out).

Moneyball =/= advanced metrics.

Advanced metrics work just as well in basketball. They just aren't easily consumable. They aren't as simple as PER, +/- as we see. It doesn't come in nice round numbers to tell us if Player A is better than Player B. Instead it's more about spots on the floor, shot charts, defensive placement, lineups, etc. It's more of "Rudy Gay shoots 34% on corner threes" vs. "Rudy Gay has a 16 PER!"