The dismal mock-draft scorecard

[Champ]

This is pretty damning. I knew it was bad, but I didn't realize it was that bad.



But its worse than it looks because:

1.

Everybody knew Jake Long was going to Miami with the No. 1 pick last year because, well, he signed with the Dolphins four days before the draft. And they all predicted Chris Long would go to St. Louis with the second pick.

2.

Most "pundits" knew that the Raiders would grab Darren McFadden with the No. 4 pick, after Al Davis’ love letters to the Arkansas running back were published in the Oakland Tribune.

And all but Sister Prisco accurately predicted that Felix Jones would go to Dallas with the 22nd pick, after the Cowboys telegraphed their desire for the Arkansas running back so loudly it was picked up on the International Space Station.

So, the two Longs and the two Arkansas running backs combined to provide 21 of the combined 37 picks our six mock-draft “experts” got correct.

[OnlyOneBeerLeft]

its actually really hard to predict, especially with trades or that one "surprise" pick, i wanna see how all the guys here do on their mocks tho, including myself, new one coming soon

[Hasselbeck]

Here was mine from a year ago.. linked from "the other site"

http://www.operationsports.com/mm/showthread.php?t=182459

But I did hit correctly on 10 picks (Eight in the 1st and Two in the 2nd).. a few of them were correct just in a different spot (Carlson, Flacco namely)

I also came very close to hitting on Otah and Chris Williams, just had them flip flopped .. and well in the case of Otah.. Carolina moved back into the 1st to grab him. But still.. had the general idea

[Hasselbeck]

8 out of 31 is actually pretty good. Walterfootball keeps track of about 40-50 mock sites and the top one's get about 10 right in a good year. Anyone who thinks they can do better are more than welcome to do one up themselves.

I just want to use this opportunity to post my Hasselkiper picture.



He's so dreamy.....

[Senser81]

Here was mine from a year ago.. linked from "the other site"

http://www.operationsports.com/mm/showthread.php?t=182459

But I did hit correctly on 10 picks (Eight in the 1st and Two in the 2nd).. a few of them were correct just in a different spot (Carlson, Flacco namely)

I also came very close to hitting on Otah and Chris Williams, just had them flip flopped .. and well in the case of Otah.. Carolina moved back into the 1st to grab him. But still.. had the general idea

Can you just list your Hasselmock from last year? I can't view the thread...it says I've been banned for eternity, and that I should be watching to see how many people sign up for MM now that I have been banned.

8 out of 31 isn't good. Some years, people can get 15-20, but thats only if there aren't any trades and the teams draft pretty much according to need. I think this just shows how people like Mel Kiper aren't really experts. To me, its like predicting the college basketball tournament. The alleged 'experts' don't do any better at predicting who will win than the housewife who makes her picks based on mascots.

[Aso]

Mock drafts are extremely difficult to do. If you get 10 right, you are pretty good. I remember my first year doing a mock was 2 years ago and i got 5 right, which wasn't to good but it was my first year doing one.

I want to do a live draft so that you get every trade correct. It would be difficult though because sometimes teams make their pick immediately after they make a trade.

I will be posting my final mock without trade guesses the day before the draft.


I can remember my top 6 that year:


1 – Oakland Raiders: JaMarcus Russell
2 – Detroit Lions: Gaines Adams
3 – Cleveland Browns: Adrian Peterson
4 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Calvin Johnson
5 – Arizona Cardinals: Joe Thomas
6 – Washington Redskins: Alan Branch


I can't remember any more from that year than that. Only other things i remember is that i got Lawrence Timmons to the steelers correct and that i thought Carriker would go to the 49ers and Patrick Willis would go to the Buffalo Bills, and also that Brady Quinn would fall to the Dolphins, and Marshawn Lynch would go to the Packers.

Like i said, it wasn't too good but i got some right.

[Senser81]

15-20 right?!?! I'd like to see someone do that; got a mock for us?

I got nothing. I do remember a few guys getting the first 14 picks right in the 2002 draft. But I don't have any hard evidence. Sorry.

[Hasselbeck]

I think a better way to grade mocks is to see if they get the right position.. and if they outright pick the player, that's very good as well.

[DSpydr84]

The problem is if you miss one guy your whole draft is out of whack.

[Aso]

The problem is if you miss one guy your whole draft is out of whack.

I know, it's a domino effect. I remember saying that before in the chatbox and like 3 other people said, what? No it doesn't. How does my first pick effect my 5th or 6th.. lol.

[Hasselbeck]

The problem is if you miss one guy your whole draft is out of whack.

Which is why I think it's more fair to look at how a person projected a team to draft.. if they correctly identified an OT, but picked the wrong one, I still think it's good that they identified the right idea a team had.