Hey JHight...

[Warner2BruceTD]

Hey, I'll take some losing seasons if it means getting a championship out of it. You would rather be the Buffalo Bills, close, but no cigar, and then fade into nothing because you never made the changes it takes to win it all. I'd rather win a championship then just be good for a couple seasons, but hey, that is just me.

But neither of those roads have a significant edge on the other. So yeah, i'd rather be good and actually enjoy Sunday afternoons.

Your entire theory hinges on the Cowboy dynasty. You have nothing else. No trends. No patterns. Nothing.

[JeremyHight]

But neither of those roads have a significant edge on the other. So yeah, i'd rather be good and actually enjoy Sunday afternoons.

Your entire theory hinges on the Cowboy dynasty. You have nothing else. No trends. No patterns. Nothing.

Yet, if not for 1 team, the Patriots, the Super Bowl runner ups wouldn't have had a single championship in the modern era. But hey, continue to say my whole argument is based on one team, while your whole argument would be shit if not for one team that has since been proven to have cheated in that Super Bowl.

[kyhadley]

I don't really want to bump this thread, but I was curious and I sent an email about this topic to football outsiders the other day and here's the response I got:

Kyle,

I think it's way too broad of a concept to measure in the way that
you're measuring. The truth, for better or worse, is that it's only
good to have the number-one pick if there's an excellent player
available that justifies the cost. That's not always the case.

-Bill Barnwell

for what it's worth

[Warner2BruceTD]

All but one of the championships on the jhight side came from a team that had THREE CONSECUTIVE #1 picks, and the lone remaining championship came from a team that traded for the #1.

Its a wash, neither side has any sort of real measurable edge here, so obviously as a fan its better to make a SB trip, and have higher likelyhood of being good moving forward, than be terrible and suffer through a brutal season. Its as close to a no brainer as it gets. Of course you'd want to see your team win games and be successful.

It would be like if we found out that the #11 pick produced the most titles within x amount of years, by some marginal percentage. I mean, who gives a shit? It means nothing.

[CaribbeanJoseph]

Neither side has a compelling arguement and its a pretty stupid debate in the first place imo. Looking at the stats, doesn't appear to be much difference and as a Titans fan I can tell you that the Super Bowl loss is still the greatest (and painful lol) memory and I'd rather have getting there and losing than having the first pick in the hope that it leads to a Super Bowl.