Status of NFC Playoff Picture - Week 16

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  • EmpireWF
    Giants in the Super Bowl
    • Mar 2009
    • 24082

    Status of NFC Playoff Picture - Week 16

    As things stand entering week 16:

    y1. Atlanta 12-2
    x2. San Francisco 10-3-1
    y3. Green Bay 10-4
    4. Washington 8-6
    5. Seattle 9-5
    6. Minnesota 8-6
    ---------
    Dallas 8-6
    New York 8-6
    Chicago 8-6


    -Atlanta clinch home field advantage with 1 more win (@ DET, vs. TB)
    -San Francisco clinch HFA with 2 wins and 2 ATL losses
    -Green Bay clinch HFA with 2 wins, 2 ATL losses and 2 SF losses

    -If Washington wins out, they clinch the NFC East. They can also clinch if they beat DAL and NY suffers at least 1 more loss.
    -If Dallas wins out, they clinch the NFC East. They can also clinch if they beat WAS and NY suffers at least 1 more loss.
    -NY must win out AND the DAL/WAS Week 17 winner must lose in Week 16 for them to clinch the NFC East.


    For the 2 wild cards, the initial tiebreaker is to eliminate multiple teams in the same division by their DIV record. Problem there, the big divisional games are not until the final week of the regular season. Chicago plays Detroit and Minnesota plays Green Bay if either team has a shot to make the playoffs.

    The Giants have the best NFC record among all the wild card chasers, but they MUST rely on WAS or DAL finishing with no better than a 3-3 divisional record (3-1, 3-2 respectively right now). Only then would NYG get a wild card spot.

    Seattle is guaranteed a playoff spot as long as they beat EITHER San Francisco or St. Louis. If they lose both, they have a slight shot but they'll need a ton of help.

    Chicago needs MIN to lose to GB while running the table against ARI and DET. Plus, New York must lose 1 game and they'd get a WC spot. If Minnesota wins out, Chicago is eliminated.


    WHO HAS THE TOUGHEST ROAD TO THE POST-SEASON IN THE NFC?

    Minnesota. They will have to beat Houston AND Green Bay and even then, they're still not guaranteed a spot based on what happens with New York and Seattle (at this point, record among common games likely gets involved).


    REMAINING GAMES

    WAS - PHI/DAL
    DAL - NO/WAS
    MIN - HOU/GB
    CHI - ARI/DET
    SEA - SF/STL
    NYG - BAL/PHI


    If all these wildcard teams lose this week,


  • Senser81
    VSN Poster of the Year
    • Feb 2009
    • 12804

    #2
    Are teams like New Orleans and Tampa still alive?

    Comment

    • EmpireWF
      Giants in the Super Bowl
      • Mar 2009
      • 24082

      #3
      Originally posted by Senser81
      Are teams like New Orleans and Tampa still alive?
      Tampa is done.

      New Orleans would need to win out and have Dallas lose out, the Giants lose out. It would come down to common games with Minnesota, who also lose out (Seattle gets the other wildcard).


      Comment

      • 1ke
        D.I.L.L.I.G.A.F
        • Mar 2009
        • 6641

        #4
        Minny will lose away to Houston, and Chicago will sneak their way back in to the 6th spot.

        Comment

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