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Dave's NFL 2009-10 predictions

dave

New member
I am being really unbiased here. It pains me to do this to Philly.
Please forgive me, Chuck Bednarik.


AFC EAST

1. New England Patriots (13-3) - Return of Brady, an improved LB corps with Jarrod Mayo being faster than Bruschi, only concern is the defensive backfield but Belichick always seems to get the most of out nothing.
2. Miami Dolphins (10-6) - Unique wildcat offence, smart QB, great defence led by Porter and Taylor.
3. New York Jets (8-8) - Rookie QB keeps them from playoffs, but they have a nice team with great RBs
4. Buffalo Bills (5-11) - Just don't see any reason why they're any better this year ... and - gasp - their O-Line may be worse this year. Mediocre QB.

AFC NORTH
1. Pittsburgh Steelers (13-3) - Always the class of this division. Can't see anything that will change that this year, save for anything Roethlisberger-related.
2. Baltimore Ravens (11-5) - Always the bridesmaid, never the bride. WRs and average RBs hold this team back from true greatness. Still not convinced Flacco is a great one yet.
3. Cleveland Browns (5-11) - Wasn't it this time last year that this team was a contender? Seems like 10 years ago.
4. Cincinnati Bengals (3-13) - Carson Palmer would have to be at the top of his game for this team to even win six games.

AFC SOUTH
1. Tennessee Titans (12-4) - They're absolutely solid everywhere and I expect Vince Young to make a surprise appearance this year. I still think he has what it takes to be special.
2. Indianapolis Colts (11-5) - Always at or near the top of the AFC, but I worry about the effect of all the off-season changes and their drop-off at WR.
3. Houston Texans (10-6) - I wouldn't be surprised if they win the division, but Schaub's injury-prone career leaves a lot of questions.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars (6-10) - They'll miss Fred Taylor and their WRs suck. I do expect Garrard to rebound though. But it won't be enough in this brutally tough division.

AFC WEST
1. San Diego Chargers (13-3) - This is like the U. of Florida playing in a Division 3 conference.
2. Denver Broncos (7-9) - Orton will be ok, but this team is undergoing way too many changes to be serious.
3. Kansas City Chiefs (4-12) - Desperately need Larry Johnson to be the old Larry Johnson. Sadly, that won't happen.
4. Oakland Raiders (2-14) - The NFL should take this franchise away from Al Davis. Jamarcus Russell is fat, inaccurate and doesn't work hard in the filmroom. Other than that, he's fine.

WILDCARD:
San Diego over Indianapolis
Tennessee over Baltimore

DIVISION:
New England over Tennessee
Pittsburgh over San Diego

CONFERENCE:
New England over Pittsburgh

NFC EAST
1. New York Giants (11-5) - Strong everywhere but receiver. My guess is they'll overcome that. This team has great coaching, awesome O and D-lines and a great RB tandem.
2. Dallas Cowboys (10-6) - Desperately need Roy Williams to be the Roy Williams at the U. of Texas. Demarcus Ware will be a beast trying to get that new contract. Their backfield of Barber, Jones and Choice give them the edge over Philly.
3. Philadelphia Eagles (9-7) - Simply can't overcome the loss of Jim Johnson, Brian Dawkins and Stewart Bradley. Too much intelligence removed from the D. And the O-Line will need about half a season to adjust to each other - way too long in this division. Brian Westbrook's injury history suggests 2-3 games missed and I'm not sure what Michael Vick will do to the offence's chemistry.
4. Washington Redskins (6-10) - A decent team in the wrong division. I actually like Jason Campbell, but they've successfully destroyed his confidence.

NFC NORTH
1. Green Bay Packers (12-4) - Have nice balance on both sides of the ball and that new D will shine
2. Chicago Bears (9-7) - Picking up Jay Cutler was a great, great move, but their receivers are an absolute nightmare and while Matt Forte is a good back, he's not a franchise back. Brian Urlacher on the downside of his career.
3. Minnesota Vikings (8-8) - Will lose the Williams boys for four games eventually this season, dooming their alleged Super Bowl run. Brett Favre simply can't get it done at 40.
4. Detroit Lions (3-13) - Should keep Matthew Stafford on the bench all season, but obviously can't for marketing reasons. They will improve, but how can't they?

NFC SOUTH
1. Carolina Panthers (11-5) - Coach John Fox always has this steady team in contention. Their two-headed backfield is outstanding and Steve Smith provides the playaction threat. Julius Peppers will rebound.
2. Atlanta Falcons (9-7) - A good offence will be sunk by a bad defence. Matt Ryan was not a fluke, but even Ryan can't overcome a crap D. These guys will no longer sneak up on anyone. Everyone will respect them as a solid team.
3. New Orleans (8-8) - They could win as many as 12 if Reggie Bush digs his head out of his ass. Sadly for Saints' fans, I don't see that happening.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-12) - They never should have fired Jon Gruden. Possibly the dumbest decision ever.

NFC WEST
1. Seattle Seahawks (11-5) - If they stay healthy, they will rebound. Big question mark is that awful run game. Aaron Curry will be a beast on day one.
2. Arizona Cardinals (10-6) - Their D is stinky and Anquan Boldin is upset. This team was a fluke last year. Yes, give them credit for a great playoff run, but they were an average team before it and an average team this year. They only get 10 wins based on playing in a division with SF and St. Louis.
3. San Francisco 49ers (6-10) - Simply don't have the offensive tools to compete. If this was 1940, they'd still finish 8-8. Shame, because I like Mike Singletary and Frank Gore deserves better.
4. St. Louis Rams (4-12) - Steve Spagnuolo will give them life, but his 48 Madden speed rating won't help them.

WILDCARD:

Dallas over Seattle
Carolina over Arizona

DIVISION:
Green Bay over Dallas
N.Y. Giants over Carolina

CONFERENCE
N.Y. Giants over Green Bay



SUPER BOWL

New England 34 N.Y. Giants 20


I hope I'm fucking wrong about the Eagles.
 
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CONFERENCE
N.Y. Giants over Green Bay


Not again :(

It's funny, before I went into this thread I thought "I would never be able to do one of these, I would put the Packers at 12-4 and everyone would scream bias". And here they are, 12-4 on your list. For the most part I agree with the records you predicted. I really hope the playoffs are a different story, though.
 
I don't even have the Giants in the Playoffs. They have no receivers that have proven anything. If Hakeem Nicks doesn't absolutely shine, the Giants struggle to go .500 IMO.

Nice predictions. I'll have to write my own tomorrow in class.
 
Without Plaxico, Eli's stats =

Rating: 69.3
YPG: 181.3
TD-INT: 3-5
W-L: 2-4

He needs to prove to me he can be an impact player without Plaxico before I put him in any Superbowl.
 
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I think you're wrong about the Eagles and Titans. And my homerism says that the Falcons win the division soo....

I really, really hope I'm wrong about the Eagles, but I think most Eagles' fans will agree that the D is going to be a serious question mark this year ... and Westbrook (or McNabb, for that matter) simply can't be counted on for 16 games.

As for the Titans, that RB duo and Jeff Fisher are good enough for me. Fisher is a great coach.
 
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I really, really hope I'm wrong about the Eagles, but I think most Eagles' fans will agree that the D is going to be a serious question mark this year ... and Westbrook simply can't be counted on for 16 games.

As for the Titans, that RB duo and Jeff Fisher are good enough for me. Fisher is a great coach.

Fisher wins 6 games for this team by himself. Completely agree with them winning the division, but I don't see Vincent making a difference this year.
 
Fisher wins 6 games for this team by himself. Completely agree with them winning the division, but I don't see Vincent making a difference this year.

Quarterbacks always get injured in the NFL. Kerry Collins is 104 years old and has a liver comparable to mine. The Titans will call on Young sometime this year. IMO, that's when he takes over.
 
Quarterbacks always get injured in the NFL. Kerry Collins is 104 years old and has a liver comparable to mine. The Titans will call on Young sometime this year. IMO, that's when he takes over.

If he does, I see him trying to take over the team. He may start a few games, but like I said, I don't see him making a positive influence on the team. They are a better team with Collins behind center. I'm actually rooting for Young to do well too, I just don't see it happening.
 
2. Indianapolis Colts (11-5) - Always at or near the top of the AFC, but I worry about the effect of all the off-season changes and their drop-off at WR.

Harrison was nearly obsolete last year, and I argue the dropoff at Wide Receiver. Clark, Gonzo, and Wayne is still VERY formidable, and not to mention Brown and Addai receiving out of the backfield?

We won't lose the AFC South this year.
 
Harrison was nearly obsolete last year, and I argue the dropoff at Wide Receiver. Clark, Gonzo, and Wayne is still VERY formidable, and not to mention Brown and Addai receiving out of the backfield?

We won't lose the AFC South this year.

Addai? What has he ever done to be considered anything but average?
Brown a rookie. Won't be overly judgmental until he actually plays an NFL game that means something.
Gonzales has proven nothing.
Clark and Wayne obviously legit.

Atlanta Falcons 9-7? Naw I give us 11-5 that defense dont have to be great just good enough cause with the offense we got we going put up alot of points!!!

Your guys surprised many teams last year. They won't have that luxury this year. Everyone who plays Atlanta will treat them like a playoff team, not a 2-14 team.
 
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Honestly though, good work. Seems very plausible; I don't see Dallas beating out the Iggy's this year, but nonetheless, fantastic work here Dave.

Addai? What has he ever done to be considered anything but average?
Brown a rookie. Won't be overly judgmental until he actually plays an NFL game that means something.
Gonzales has proven nothing.
Clark and Wayne obviously legit.

Gonzalez has proven lots. He's more than adequate to fill in for Harrison. I'm not buying that.

I'll buy the Addai argument; however, the Colts love to play their backs out in short patterns, and Addai, while not being quite the Edge we grew accustomed to, is great, as was Brown in college. I agree we may be a bit weaker, but nonetheless very dangerous.
 
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Atlanta Falcons 9-7? Naw I give us 11-5 that defense dont have to be great just good enough cause with the offense we got we going put up alot of points!!!

Tony G makes life a lot easier for Matty Ryan. With that kind of an offense, I wouldn't be surprised if they are one of the top 5 scoring teams. If their defense plays even mediocre, they win 10+ games.
 
Tony G makes life a lot easier for Matty Ryan. With that kind of an offense, I wouldn't be surprised if they are one of the top 5 scoring teams. If their defense plays even mediocre, they win 10+ games.

I totally agree; if Matty holds up this year and Turner keeps chugging they'll be tough.
 
I'm talking bout I think they are going to finish way better than 11-5.

Their division is too tough and they're gonna miss Haynesworth.

Tennessee, Indy and Houston are all solid teams. This division is almost as good as the NFC East.

Tennessee will be thrilled with 11 wins.
 
Falcons 16-0. Matt Ryan throws for 51 TDs and Michael Turner rushes for 29.

/homerism

But I think they're getting 10-12 wins this year, and will have a Top 3 Scoring offense. Turner and Norwood are going to run over everyone and Gonzalez and White are both getting 900 yards, possibly 1,000.
 
Dave,

Nice assessment on Tampa. The only thing I don't agree with is the number of wins. You have it too high at 4. I'm thinking 2 or 3...seriously.
 
I'm talking bout I think they are going to finish way better than 11-5.

I'm a Titans fan and I even think they're only going 11-5. Tougher schedule, and loss of Big Al will knock two wins from the team.

But we win the AFC South, not the Colts, Gonzo. :)
 
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