Its probably a .500 team, especially in the National League. The bullpen is going to help this team win some close games as well. I would expect anywhere from 78-88 wins, erring on the higher side.
SS JJ Hardy
CF J Hairston
1B B Butler
RF C Hart
3B T Wigginton
LF J Gomes
C K Suzuki
2B M Cairo
C E.Whiteside
IF J.Herrera
OF C.Dickerson
OF C Patterson
2B M Ellos
P A.Chapman
P R.Dempster
P T.Lilly
P C.Capuano
P D.Fister
P B.Arroyo
P M.Adams
P J.Venters
P H.Bell
P M.Rivers
P J.Walden
Closer: C Kimbrel
The lineup is missing a leadoff hitter, and JJ Hardy was my ideal #2 hitter before moving him to leadoff. I then wanted to put Wigginton there, but had to go with Hairston as Wigginton needed to be down in the lineup.
Butler and Hart are solid for the middle of the lineup, but they are missing a cleanup hitter- Hart would be much better in the fifth spot (thereby moving everyone else down a spot in the order.)
I had to get Patterson and Ellis out of the lineup. I realize I have both utility players in the starting lineup, but they were better offensive players. As an Oriole fan, I especially despise everything about Patterson.
As for the pitching, I might take some flak from everyone, but Mariano Rivera is not the closer. Kimbrel has been a dominate pitcher on the mound, and has better numbers than both Rivera and Bell. I also noticed that Rivera's opponents BA has jumped up .50 points from last year.
What this bullpen really has going for it is that there are studs throughout. The only defined roles are Kimbrel as closer and Arroyo in long relief. Everyone else can step in and get outs when its needed, even in the sixth and seventh innings. Heck, I might not even have a closer with this team if I were the manager (though I do value the closer role, I don't like how many teams keep their best pitchers as set up men for late innings when they could be needed to preserve a lead earlier.)
The rotation lacked an ace, and I know someone did this earlier, but I moved Chapman into the rotation and think he could be the ace. Obviously we have not seen Chapman start, but I would roll the dice. Otherwise, the rotation has solid depth to it.