History can have a funny way of repeating itself. Back in the 2005 offseason, the Vikings finally had enough of superstar receiver Randy Moss and shipped him to Oakland in a trade that ultimately benefited neither side. This offseason, it seems that Minnesota might be heading in the same direction with Percy Harvin, as rumors have surfaced that the Vikings may try to trade their Swiss army knife on offense.
Harvin might be the most explosive player in football with the ball in his hands. He missed the last seven weeks of the season because of injury, but the incredible finish to the season from Adrian Peterson has left many forgetting already that it was Harvin, not Peterson, who was garnering talk of MVP over the first half of the season. At that time, everything that Minnesota did on offense flowed through the versatile receiver.
Despite missing the final seven games of the season, Harvin led the league in missed tackles forced by a non-running back with 22. That is five more than the next-best receiver, Brandon Marshall, who had 56 additional receptions on which to make people miss. That statistic also doesn't count the five additional misses Harvin forced when running the football lined up in the backfield or the damage he did as a return man.
As a return man, Harvin was a devastating weapon, scoring a touchdown and averaging more than 35 yards each time he ran it back. As a receiver, only Philadelphia's Jason Avant, who didn't drop a ball all season, had a better drop rate. In 81 targets through nine games, Harvin dropped just one pass, or 1.59 percent of the catchable balls thrown his way. Compared to other high-volume underneath targets like Wes Welker (11.28 percent), Davone Bess (11.59 percent), Dexter McCluster (11.86 percent) or Victor Cruz (12.24 percent), Harvin was a far more reliable target.
But just like Moss all those years ago, Harvin comes with baggage, and you have to buy into more than just his obvious talent and playmaking ability. Tensions between him and the Vikings have brewed for a while, and with his contract expiring after the 2013 season, a trade market may be emerging.
Even if Harvin brings more than just mercurial talent, a queue of teams should try to make a trade, so let's look at a few of the likeliest suitors:
New England Patriots
Patriots coach Bill Belichick is said to be a huge Harvin admirer, and the team is reluctant to allocate big money to Welker, an aging player who likely wouldn't have the same value outside New England that he does in Foxboro. The answer might be to spend some of that money on a player who is younger, has better hands and is more explosive, even if he doesn't have quite the same veteran savvy and nuanced route-running. The Patriots' receiving corps certainly could use the injection of pace and youth it would get from Harvin, and along with their stable of tight ends, the Pats would have plenty of options to distribute the football in their ever-evolving offense. Lastly, the Patriots have one of the league's healthiest salary-cap situations, with just a little more than $102 million committed in 2013.
San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers have much ammunition in terms of draft picks, having stockpiled them with trades in last year's draft. The 49ers have additional selections in the third, fifth, sixth and seventh rounds, giving them plenty of flexibility to put together an acceptable package for the Vikings. On top of that, the 49ers certainly could use a player of Harvin's ability, struggling at times for explosive plays this season with only really Michael Crabtree able to consistently separate. The myriad ways Harvin's versatility could be used inside the creative option looks the 49ers run is particularly mouth-watering. Lastly, Moss became close with Harvin during his brief second stint in Minnesota, so if the 49ers hold on to him for another season, they might hope to use him to work with the younger receiver.
Atlanta Falcons
For the past few seasons, the Falcons have been all about surrounding Matt Ryan with weapons to make the offense even better. With Tony Gonzalez about to hang it up, the team suddenly has a gaping hole in the middle of the field and underneath the defense. Harry Douglas hasn't showed he can operate consistently in that area, but Harvin certainly has. Despite the aggressive moves they have made in the past, the Falcons are still in a healthy salary-cap situation and have more than enough to get a contract done with Harvin. Roddy White, Julio Jones and Harvin would be a fearsome trio.
Other possibilities
Jacksonville Jaguars: It's a new regime with plenty of cap room and one final shot for quarterback Blaine Gabbert. If the Jaguars want Gabbert to succeed, they could give him a legitimate stud to help in the offense and at least give him a fighting chance to swim rather than sink this season.
Miami Dolphins: This team has been crying out for receiver help for years. With a sophomore quarterback, Ryan Tannehill, who flashed a lot of talent as a rookie, Harvin's dynamic play could only help his development.
Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs don't have the healthiest of salary-cap situations, but Harvin fits the Andy Reid of small, precise and sudden receivers and could help out whoever lines up under center for them opening day.
The bottom line
Teams rarely trade a player of transcendent talent like Harvin, and when they do, you know there are issues to be resolved. A new contract with the Vikings would go some way toward appeasing him, but Harvin would benefit from a strong locker room and leadership. If another team can provide that and grab him for a second-round pick, it might have one of the steals of the decade.