Aries won't win or threaten. TNA does not do enough business. I suspect he will place, but I doubt he cracks the top three.
But then there is this...
I don't think i've seen a multi month run of PPV's in my life where not a single show got a single "thumbs down" from the cynical fucks who read the Observer. Granted, the vote totals aren't very high for TNA, but still. This is especially amazing considering that pre Aries push during the Russo era they could barey muster a single thumbs up. The turn around has been drastic and incredible, but business has yet to show any signs of turning. That does take time, though. If TNA starts to tick up by November and Aries is still on top, you have to consider him.
Cena has had a very good year. The guy has more good matches than he ever gets credit for. But this year more than ever has been a "community" effort in the WWE, with nobody standing out. I don't see the winner coming from the WWE.
All Japan, NOAH, AAA, CMLL, ROH have nobody that can win. Dragon Gate has CIMA, who is on top in Japan and in DGUSA, and is having a fine year, but he can't and shouldn't win. Top indie guys like Gargano, Kingston, Generico etc have no chance but will get token votes.
People who can realistically win in my opinion, in no particular order:
Okada
Tanahashi
Punk
Cena
Bryan (longshot, but consider the voting pool, and fuck, he has been great ffs)
Rock (longshot, but there are old school voters who only care about business and business only for this award, but thats what "Best Box Office Draw" is for)
In the mix to place, need to do a lot more to win:
CIMA
Aries
Jun Akiyama (sneaky good year on top in All Japan & NOAH)
Naito (fading, as the focus shifts to Okada/Tanahashi)
Steen (was Rhode Island a fluke? wont matter anyway)
Robert Roode (if Aries cant win though, neither can he)
Lesnar (see Rock)
No chance, will get vanity votes:
Gargano
Akira Tozawa (neither DG branch pulled the trigger!)
El Generico
Eddie Kingston
Marufuji
Taguchi (better suited for Most Outstanding)
Sheamus
Jericho
But then there is this...
TNA DESTINATION X PPV POLL RESULTS (july 2012)
Thumbs up 111 (100.0%)
Thumbs down 0 (00.0%)
In the middle 0 (00.0%)
TNA SLAMMIVERSARY PPV POLL RESULTS (june 2012)
Thumbs up 123 (99.2%)
Thumbs down 0 (00.0%)
In the middle 1 (00.8%)
TNA SACRIFICE PPV POLL RESULTS (may 2012)
Thumbs up 41 (100.0%)
Thumbs down 0 (00.0%)
In the middle 0 (00.0%)
Thumbs up 111 (100.0%)
Thumbs down 0 (00.0%)
In the middle 0 (00.0%)
TNA SLAMMIVERSARY PPV POLL RESULTS (june 2012)
Thumbs up 123 (99.2%)
Thumbs down 0 (00.0%)
In the middle 1 (00.8%)
TNA SACRIFICE PPV POLL RESULTS (may 2012)
Thumbs up 41 (100.0%)
Thumbs down 0 (00.0%)
In the middle 0 (00.0%)
Cena has had a very good year. The guy has more good matches than he ever gets credit for. But this year more than ever has been a "community" effort in the WWE, with nobody standing out. I don't see the winner coming from the WWE.
All Japan, NOAH, AAA, CMLL, ROH have nobody that can win. Dragon Gate has CIMA, who is on top in Japan and in DGUSA, and is having a fine year, but he can't and shouldn't win. Top indie guys like Gargano, Kingston, Generico etc have no chance but will get token votes.
People who can realistically win in my opinion, in no particular order:
Okada
Tanahashi
Punk
Cena
Bryan (longshot, but consider the voting pool, and fuck, he has been great ffs)
Rock (longshot, but there are old school voters who only care about business and business only for this award, but thats what "Best Box Office Draw" is for)
In the mix to place, need to do a lot more to win:
CIMA
Aries
Jun Akiyama (sneaky good year on top in All Japan & NOAH)
Naito (fading, as the focus shifts to Okada/Tanahashi)
Steen (was Rhode Island a fluke? wont matter anyway)
Robert Roode (if Aries cant win though, neither can he)
Lesnar (see Rock)
No chance, will get vanity votes:
Gargano
Akira Tozawa (neither DG branch pulled the trigger!)
El Generico
Eddie Kingston
Marufuji
Taguchi (better suited for Most Outstanding)
Sheamus
Jericho
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