#1 pick in Fantasy Football 2012

[Tailback U]

If I have the #1 pick I'm probably taking Rodgers, Brady, or Brees for reasons already given (injury, chances of backs having a down year, etc.).

But if I have the 4th or 5th pick, I'm probably going RB because there are about 10 QB's that are all going to give you 15-20 points per week. RB's just have more question marks surrounding them so the deeper the draft goes the bigger the question marks get.

Top 10 fantasy QB's (Standard yahoo scoring 6pt TDs):

• 1. Drew Brees 405
• 2. Aaron Rodgers 403
• 3. Cam Newton 386
• 4. Tom Brady 378
• 5. Matthew Stafford 359
• 6. Eli Manning 296
• 7. Tony Romo 285
• 8. Matt Ryan 285
• 9. Phillip Rivers 274
• 10. Mark Sanchez 255

Top 10 RB's in points (Standard yahoo scoring)

• 1. Ray Rice 296
• 2. LeSean McCoy 280
• 3. Maurice Jones Drew 262
• 4. Arian Foster 250
• 5. Marshawn Lynch 215
• 6. Michael Turner 212
• 7. Darren Sproles 191
• 8. Adrian Peterson 189
• 9. Ryan Matthews 186
• 10. Michael Bush 185

After looking at the points, it really just depends on where you draft and how the 1st round develops.

If you can get one of the top 5 QB's early then you should, but if you can get one of the top 5 backs early then you should as well...lol. This is why I always like to draft in the middle of the pack rather than getting an early or late pick. The top QBs/HBs fly off the board in that 1st round.

Last year the top 5 picks were QBs in a 10 team league so I had to grab Rivers at #7 because I was too scared of not getting a top QB.

The most glaring thing about the rankings is how Darren Sproles and Michael Bush cracked the top 10 in halfbacks. Nobody expected that. And I doubt Marshawn Lynch was the 5th back taken in most drafts.

It's worth noting that the top halfback (Ray Rice) scored as many points as the 6th best QB (Eli Manning).

Also probably worth mentioning that the difference between the top QB (Rodgers) and the 10th (Sanchez) was 150 points. While the difference between the top RB (Rice) and the 10th (Michael Bush) was just 111 points.

 

[ralaw]

I got bashed in my league for taking LeSean McCoy 2nd overall last year...:kobe: He led me to a championship.

I had Rice, McCoy and Forte as my runningbacks and didn't make the championship........ I'm not playing FF this year....still bitter. :rage:

 

[Tailback U]

I had Rice, McCoy and Forte as my runningbacks and didn't make the championship........ I'm not playing FF this year....still bitter. :rage:

I almost quit playing a couple seasons ago because I had Chris Johnson, Jamaal Charles, and LeSean McCoy and barely made the playoffs I think or may not have even.

Guy who wins each year is the guy who is on the waiver wire the most since my league doesn't do waiver claims. Hopefully we'll change that this season.

I just do it for the live draft though and the shit talking. Fantasy football itself sucks ass and is stupid. It does keep me more interested, though.

 

[ralaw]

I almost quit playing a couple seasons ago because I had Chris Johnson, Jamaal Charles, and LeSean McCoy and barely made the playoffs I think or may not have even.

Guy who wins each year is the guy who is on the waiver wire the most since my league doesn't do waiver claims. Hopefully we'll change that this season.

I just do it for the live draft though and the shit talking. Fantasy football itself sucks ass and is stupid. It does keep me more interested, though.

Part of the reason why I am not going to play is that it consumes me to the point where I don't even watch (and enjoy) the games. I'm more concerned about my FF guys...constantly checking stats, putting in waiver claims, etc This year I just want to enjoy the games.

 

[DoubleDeuce]

Jamaal Charles was my first round pick last year (not first overall) and that didn't turn out so well.

 

[Len B]

Fantasy football is a battle of attrition. Unless you draft completely stupid, it comes down to injuries and luck.

/debbie downer, but it's true

sidenote-it's also advantageous to suck Week 1, because then you get that all important Week 2 top waiver claim, where you can scoop up that backup RB who is now a starter due to a big injury, or that RB who came out of nowhere that nobody drafted. It's like a free 2nd round draft pick.

Agree to an extent. Everyone can draft well nowadays thanks to the 1,000 mocks/guides out there. However, the guy who is able to find waiver wire pick ups that aren't obvious and are able to load their bench with solid risk/reward bench players will do well in the long run more than others.

If you can find Arian Foster or Victor Cruz before the other guy, you're at an advantage. I remember I picked up Foster before week 1 against the Colts knowing he'd have a decent game. Little did I know he'd explode the way he did. That small advantage got me him before everyone else.

The best way to play fantasy football is to do weekly games where you pick players weekly. Eliminates a lot of luck.

 

[ThomasTomasz]

I had Rice, McCoy and Forte as my runningbacks and didn't make the championship........ I'm not playing FF this year....still bitter. :rage:

Don't feel bad, I had Rodgers, Forte, McCoy and MJD (along with Michael Bush) plus Dez Bryant and others and finished second for the second season in a row.

 

[Sharkweather]

In a basic league, it's between Rice and Foster.

I had both last year and didn't win the title. I'm definitely going QB if I get a real early pick or maybe even WR if I pick later. WR's are so streaky in fantasy, so I'm curious how getting a couple of the real top of the top WRs would work.

 

[Hasselbeck]

Fantasy football is a battle of attrition. Unless you draft completely stupid, it comes down to injuries and luck.

/debbie downer, but it's true

sidenote-it's also advantageous to suck Week 1, because then you get that all important Week 2 top waiver claim, where you can scoop up that backup RB who is now a starter due to a big injury, or that RB who came out of nowhere that nobody drafted. It's like a free 2nd round draft pick.

:yep: :yep:

Case in point, my team in my $350 league was flying high and started 7-2... then the wheels came off with Schaub, Fred Jackson, and Miles Austin all going down one after the other. I limped to a 3rd place finish. (My starting QB in the playoffs was Matt Moore)

Guy who won it all? Got blown out Week 1... picked up Victor Cruz off waivers.

Which.. related subject. I HATE the reverse waiver wire rule.

 

[jms493]

I dont know....the same guys in the my 2 leagues always do good for the last 5-6 years. Injuries obviously is a huge factor but that waiver is known to produce champions.

 

[red33]

last year won both lgs for close to 1k i think, my bigger lg i picked up cruz after his game vs rams.

anyways im goin qb cause they r the hot sht and once u draft u gonna be waiting a long time before it comes back and hopefully i could create some kind of fake rush on qbs leaving a top 5-6 rb when it get backs to me.

also i play with some idiots, one year this raider fan drafted all raiders. last year this guy had 4 players on IR, and another guy drafted p. manning with his 2nd pick.

 

[BigBucs]

Nobody knew Peyton was gonna be out all of last season.

 

[Umfer]

We have 8 people in our league and I draft 6th. I believe it'll go Rodgers, Brady, Foster, Mccoy, Brees.....
It's down to 2 players for me Wr Calvin Johnson or Qb Cam Newton. If I select Cam I guarentee Calvin will be off the board with those 4 picks until my next. If I select Calvin, I can maybe get CAM or for sure just settle for Vick.
I just feel like Calvin Johnson is that much better than the rest of the Wr's while Cam could be replaced by a guy like Vick what do you guys do?

 

[leaffan]

This thread reminded me of the Miles Austin and Jamal Charles rage I had last year.

 

[red33]

Nobody knew Peyton was gonna be out all of last season.

ill give u tht. i think the very next day though they announced he was out for season.

either way i play in a fun LG. Defenses go early hahah and kickers.

 

[BigBucs]

They were still talking about him playing the last few games midway through the season. Around this time last year all the way up until opening day he was expected to miss a few games.

 

[red33]

really? didnt they announce he more then likely done for the season before the start?

my memory is a bit hazy but i remember the whole LG making fun of him and him trying to dump him for anybody.

 

[BigBucs]

Naw. I remember the Colts still holding out hope that he would play the last 2 games.

 

[Saluki]

We have 8 people in our league and I draft 6th. I believe it'll go Rodgers, Brady, Foster, Mccoy, Brees.....
It's down to 2 players for me Wr Calvin Johnson or Qb Cam Newton. If I select Cam I guarentee Calvin will be off the board with those 4 picks until my next. If I select Calvin, I can maybe get CAM or for sure just settle for Vick.
I just feel like Calvin Johnson is that much better than the rest of the Wr's while Cam could be replaced by a guy like Vick what do you guys do?

If your thinking of settling for Vick just remember he puts up good fantasy numbers, but he misses a lot of time too. Cam will prob score more points than Johnson too since he's a QB and he also gets rushing TDs. If it's PPR i'd look at Welker too if your set on getting a WR 1st for whatever reason.

 

[ThomasTomasz]

We have 8 people in our league and I draft 6th. I believe it'll go Rodgers, Brady, Foster, Mccoy, Brees.....
It's down to 2 players for me Wr Calvin Johnson or Qb Cam Newton. If I select Cam I guarentee Calvin will be off the board with those 4 picks until my next. If I select Calvin, I can maybe get CAM or for sure just settle for Vick.
I just feel like Calvin Johnson is that much better than the rest of the Wr's while Cam could be replaced by a guy like Vick what do you guys do?

Calvin all the way. Huge producer and only had one, maybe two games last season where he only scored single digit points.