All true, except one thing. If he had been a draft bust that also would've set the team back. It really was the draft pick that was supposed to take the team into another era of greatness without missing a beat. So sure, he could've been a bust but that also would've had the franchise scrambling. Remember, they rarely picked at the top of the draft (they got this pick through a trade 2 years earlier) so they fully prepared to usher in the next Celts superstar.
Again it's all speculation. The Celtics made the NBA Finals in 86-87 and even if Bias had panned out who were the Celtics going to put around him? The success of the Celtics was always multiple good/great players. Bird, parish, McHale, DJ etc were all going to age anyways and so far as replacements the Celtics would have had Bias in 86, Reggie Lewis a few years later...and what else? Especially in an Eastern Conference comign up with emerging teams in the Bulls, Knicks, Hornets, etcit's quite a leap to assume that Bias was supposed to help the Celtics move on without missing a beat when in 3-4 years he would not have been surrounded by much.
Also, I thought they got that pick from a trade Red made in April of that same season?
Bias being a bust/dying would have had the same effect. Nothing. If Bias busted the Celts move on and try and make other moves as all other NBA teams do when a draft pick busts out.
Bias is getting WAY too much credit for the downfall of the Celtics for a guy that never even set foot on an NBA floor and we have no idea what he would have done.
It's great sports romanticsm to imagine this other golden Celtic era with Len Bias at the head of it but no one knows what he would have done and to assume any sort of greatness is a reach.
To be fair, they did find a good SF the very next year at the bottom of the first round, Reggie Lewis as has been stated. However, I can honestly say with a fair amount of certainty that they don't use that pick on Lewis if Bias makes it to Boston. Maybe several picks are altered if Bias lives. Even if he's proven to be a bust, it's likely Boston would've still stuck by him for a few seasons at least. It wasn't like it is now, where guys get dropped like hot potatoes if they don't pan out immediately. I mean, Roy Tarpley was taken in the same draft as Bias and lord knows how many chances the Mavs gave him before finally giving up (if you don't know the story, google him and the '86 draft in general to see how screwed up those guys in the first round were). Compounding the problem, Lewis died six years into his career just as he was becoming a consistent 20 point-a-night scorer, so that didn't exactly help either.
That's why I said that Lewis was a much bigger loss than Bias ever was.
Lewis=proven NBA talent
Bias=mythic ghost of NBA potential.
I can see what you mean by "what ifs" and no one knows what he would have done. But signs point to him being one of the best. He won Player of the year twice in the hardest conference in America. He was compared through his college career as the Kryptonite to Michael Jordan.
Usually in the NBA, when someone is compared to a great. They aren't to shabby.
No. Signs point to him being one hell of a college player. I would argue there are more signs pointing to him being a bust in the NBA than a success simply because of his lack of personal discipline.
Each year there are plenty of draft busts. Guys who people thought that would be good or great in the NBA and end up doing nothing. To say "well he was expected to be great in the pros" as a rationalization for saying he would have ended up being the 2nd best NBA player ever is retarded.