Lets take a look at Mark Sanchez. His rookie year passing numbers were putrid when compared to his last season at USC. The drop-off in efficiency wasn’t unexpected (perhaps except for you)…but the question is “why”?
Actually, my question was "How", but you careful dodged my question.
So I am putting forth the revolutionary and highly-controversial idea that NFL defenses are different than college defenses!!!
Schedule: In the NFL, there aren’t really any “easy” games. Every team, even the Browns, are competent. Mark Sanchez doesn’t get any San Jose States. Even the mediocre colleges like Washington State, where Sanchez just throws the ball to the WR with the white CB on him, are in no way comparable to the worst NFL defense. In college, you face a tough defense maybe 3 times a season. In the NFL, every defense is tough.
Ok, irrelevant to the discussion. Nobody said college and pro football are the same. All I said was reading a coverage is the same.
Pass rush: This is somewhat related to schedule. A QB in college has way more time to make decisions and read defenses when compared to the NFL. In the NFL, every team has multiple players on defense who can rush the QB. In college, its possible that a team has no one who can really put pressure on the QB. So, more time to make decisions means its much easier to read a college defense than an NFL defense.
This is true to an extent. Except, of course, that Pro OL are also better than college lineman. I'll agree that the pass rush is tougher in the NFL.
Pass coverage: colleges just don’t have the athletes who can cover WRs man to man.
You just made that up. There are plenty of college teams that play man to man coverage. I won't dispute there is a wider talent range, but the idea that no college teams play man is ridiculous.
The offenses in college hold the upper-hand. If you don’t agree, just take a look at some of the collegiate passing stats. I think Kellen Moore had like 45 TDs and only 4 int.
And the offense in the NFL also holds the upper hand (thank you illegal contact).
The coverage in the NFL is much tighter than in college. As I said before, in college a QB can find a WR who is open and throw him the ball. In the NFL, if you wait for your WR to get open before throwing him the ball, its likely that the WR will have 3 DBs on him by the time the ball arrives. In the NFL, a QB has to read the defense and anticipate which WR will be getting open, and then throw the ball before the WR is open. THIS IS MUCH DIFFERENT THAN COLLEGE. An NFL QB has to recognize the defense quicker and have a quicker release than in college.
I'll file this under "Things Senser made up".
While it is absolutely true that there is tigheter coverage in the NFL (better athletes), you don't even have a basic understanding of how a passing attack operates. Nobody, Nobody, NOBODY just looks for an open recevier. The fact you have said this, mutliple times, proves you are simply talking out of your ass.
All passing attacks (D1a-NFL) base on manipulating defenders by putting two receivers in the same spot, thus creating a conflict (they can only cover 1 of them). Reading a coverage is identifying the coverage shell, getting into the correct route combination, and reading the conflicted-defender. This happens faster in the NFL, and there are a wider variety of combinations to choose from, but the basic premise is the same.
Schemes: Hal Mumme developed one of the most dynamic offensive schemes in college football history with his “Air Raid” offense at Kentucky. Similar to me calling “WR Under” in Madden for 15 consecutive plays, the Air Raid offense consisted of Tim Couch, Jared Lorenzen, etc. using the same 3 pass plays over and over and over. It simplified reading the defense to the most elementary level. This works in college because the defenses just aren’t up to task. They don’t have the athletes, they don’t have the practice time, etc. But do you think the Air Raid would work in the NFL? Not a chance. You have professional players and coaches who can dissect and exploit every nuance of an offense. NFL teams put in new defenses, new blitzes, new coverages, etc. ‘en masse’ every week. A QB in the NFL has to be able to recognize a multitude of new defenses every game. There is more variety in the blitzes. There is more variety in the man/zone combinations.
Except, of course, that a ton of coaches have worked at both levels...and regularly bounce between them. I suppose your theory then is that when they are professional coaches they dissect and exploit every nuance of an offense...but when they are working in college they don't bother with that stuff.
I'm sure that's it.
Oh, and the staple plays of the Air Raid are all over the NFL. Martz is running Air Raid stuff, and Wes Welker makes a living running the "Sticks" route. Mesh is a HUGE play in the NFL as well.
Athletes: Forgetting the ‘strategy’ aspect of it, just the athletes that play defense in the NFL make the field smaller and give the QB less areas to exploit...thus making it more difficult to read the defense and identify the weakness. The 2000 Ravens had one of the greatest defenses of all-time, and they rarely blitzed or did anything exotic. They basically dropped 3 LBers into short zones, and no NFL QB could get the ball over them or around them (so…it was like playing NCAA 2006). The defenders in the NFL don’t regularly botch assignments, they don’t regularly get beaten by 10 yards, the LBers don’t bite on every play fake. It’s a different game. An NFL QB has to read the defense differently...he has to be able to see things in minute detail, because the cracks in the defense are more difficult to recognize.
The field being effectively smarter is a difference, and the smaller window is a big factor (thus, Timmy's release concerns...and all the obsession over arm strength). But, again, reading a route combination does not change.
I could go on and on, but I don’t think I have to. The statistics speak for themselves.
No, statistics have yet to prove how reading a defense is any different. Nobody is arguing the NFL plays better defense than the college game.