NCAA Basketball Tournament forecasting

[Woy]

ARCHER! :wub:

Cleveland State has RMU as a OOC win. :shifty:

 

[Woy]

That game last year was awful to watch. Villanova shot 40 free throws! Scottie Reynolds shot 2 of 15 from the field, but shot 16 free throws! RMU was called for 31 fouls!!

Such a heartbreaking game to be at. Even some of the Nova fans told us while walking back to the bus that we got screwed.

 

[Pitty]

call me crazy my number one seeds would be Duke, Kansas, Ohio State, and a toss up between Pitt if they win the Big East and BYU if they win out

Over Pitt? Get the fuck out of here with that noise.

 

[Senser81]

Over Pitt? Get the fuck out of here with that noise.

I could see Duke getting a #1 seed over Pitt based on rep, but I doubt that BYU would get a #1 seed over a Big East champ Pitt team.

 

[BrntO4Life]

Well Texas has turned into a bunch of wiener suckers again. Cool.

 

[godspeed]

It will be interesting to see if Coastal Carolina can get things together and win their tournament and get in the NCAA tournament.

I don't know if any of you guys have been following them the last few weeks, but they are facing some huge problems.

There was a story in the NY Times last week, and there have been some suspensions and NCAA investigations regarding violations, and they have also been hit with injuries. They have gone from a possible sleeper to desperate all in about a few weeks time. I think they only have 7 scholarship players, and dressed only 8 in their last two conference losses.

They play in the 1st Round of the Big South Tourney tonight for Gardner-Webb, I think Leftwhich posted earlier that he was going.

 

[Hasselbeck]

Villanova has been bad every time I've seen them play this year. They are a total slop team...they don't really do anything on offense or defense. They can't shoot, they can't score inside. They don't press. They just try to run into people and get to the free-throw line.

Thank you! Could not have said it better myself. They are one of, if not THE, most overrated teams in the country.

As for BYU.. If BYU wins out (very very likely) and has a decent showing in the MWC tourney - they're a lock to be a 1 seed IMO. They've only lost two games all year, one at New Mexico (which is always a very difficult place to play at) and the other to UCLA.. which right now isn't looking like a very bad loss by any stretch. They have the best RPI in the country as well.

You're looking at a probable 30 win team with the nations best scorer.. I think they deserve a one seed barring them losing a brutal game in the conference tourney (They will likely get TCU/Wyoming in their first game.)

 

[G-men]

fuck this Murray State noise, its all about Morehead State. Kenneth Faried is the truth and if they with their tourney, any team is on upset alert if he can get going.

 

[jeffx]

If St. John's runs the table and has a good showing in the Big East tourney, I could see them getting a #5 seed.

 

[Hasselbeck]

If St. John's runs the table and has a good showing in the Big East tourney, I could see them getting a #5 seed.

Really? I can see them as a 4.

All that said, SJU scares me come March. They have that Michigan State feel where they will probably do the opposite of what I project them to do in the tourney.

 

[Herm]

I could see Duke getting a #1 seed over Pitt based on rep, but I doubt that BYU would get a #1 seed over a Big East champ Pitt team.

If Pitt wins Big East i dont see any scenario where they arent a 1.


i'd like to see BYU get a 1, i dont know if it will happen.

 

[Rudi]

BYU was gunna be one of my Final 4 teams, but without Davies I'm not sure they can make it that far. Then again, never doubt the Jimmer.

 

[Senser81]

I could see Duke getting a #1 seed over Pitt based on rep, but I doubt that BYU would get a #1 seed over a Big East champ Pitt team.

Pitty, for all the times you've groaned me, where is my thanks for this posting??

 

[Senser81]

BYU was gunna be one of my Final 4 teams, but without Davies I'm not sure they can make it that far. Then again, never doubt the Jimmer.

Davies was their big inside player...most of their tall guys just sit outside the 3pt line and shoot spot-up 3's. I think losing Davies will be big.

Illinois lost to Purdue in their typical fashion, lighting up Purdue in the 1st half, then going into stall mode in the 2nd half. Still, I am surprised to hear that people see Illinois as not getting into the tournament. Assuming they beat Indiana, Illinois will finish the regular season 9-9 in the conference, 19-12 overall, and either 4th or 5th in the conference. What do you think?

 

[FirstTimer]

Davies was their big inside player...most of their tall guys just sit outside the 3pt line and shoot spot-up 3's. I think losing Davies will be big.

Illinois lost to Purdue in their typical fashion, lighting up Purdue in the 1st half, then going into stall mode in the 2nd half. Still, I am surprised to hear that people see Illinois as not getting into the tournament. Assuming they beat Indiana, Illinois will finish the regular season 9-9 in the conference, 19-12 overall, and either 4th or 5th in the conference. What do you think?

The game was tied at half. Illinois couldn't really go into stall mode.

I see Illinois as getting in as one of the last teams in, but if they don't make it I won't be surprised or up set. They are really soft mentally and physically and for as veteren as a team they are they have no real leadership at all. If they get in, they won't make it out of the opening round.

 

[Archer]

Davies was their big inside player...most of their tall guys just sit outside the 3pt line and shoot spot-up 3's. I think losing Davies will be big.

Illinois lost to Purdue in their typical fashion, lighting up Purdue in the 1st half, then going into stall mode in the 2nd half. Still, I am surprised to hear that people see Illinois as not getting into the tournament. Assuming they beat Indiana, Illinois will finish the regular season 9-9 in the conference, 19-12 overall, and either 4th or 5th in the conference. What do you think?

I'd imagine a .500 Big Ten record plus a few decent OOC wins should be enough to get them in.

While it appears like they have had a really dissapointing year... I feel like they had an overrated team coming into the year. McCamey is one of the more overrated PG's in the nation and they have no bigs who can post up and get you easy points in the paint.

Edit - Lunardi has them as a #10 right now so I'm guessing anything other then a loss to Indiana or a terrible first round Big Ten tourney loss should be enough.

 

[Warner2BruceTD]

Who hacked archer's account?

 

[Senser81]

The game was tied at half. Illinois couldn't really go into stall mode.

I see Illinois as getting in as one of the last teams in, but if they don't make it I won't be surprised or up set. They are really soft mentally and physically and for as veteren as a team they are they have no real leadership at all. If they get in, they won't make it out of the opening round.

Late in the game, Illinois was down like 64-63 or something like that. They held Purdue scoreless on 4 straight possessions. But on their 4 offensive possessions, the ball never crossed the 3 point line. The result was 2 turnovers, 2 missed 3's, and they lost about 2 minutes of clock time. Horrible.

 

[FirstTimer]

Who are Illinois' good OOC wins? Gonzaga and UNC? That's really it. They have another decent win over Wisconsin and a win over MSU but their resume kind of sucks.

 

[Senser81]

Who are Illinois' good OOC wins? Gonzaga and UNC? That's really it. They have another decent win over Wisconsin and a win over MSU but their resume kind of sucks.

They beat Oakland (who is having a great season) and Maryland (FWIW). Their resume does kind of suck, but I just assume if they can finish 4th or 5th in the Big 10 with a .500 conference record, they'll automatically get in.