Now what?
The goal every year is to earn a bid to the NCAA Tournament. Failing that, the NIT has become a valuable consolation prize.
Despite an RPI right around 100, 12 road wins, and a strong non-conference schedule, the NIT appears to be out of reach for Robert Morris. Blame this year's NCAA Tournament bubble, which appears overly bloated with middling power conference teams, which will push mid-majors like Drexel and Iona to the NIT. Blame additional regular season champions of one-bid leagues for failing to come up with a postseason title, taking up automatic bids to the NIT.
This much is known: Within the last few weeks, organizers of the NIT, College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and Collegeinsider.com Tournament (CIT) have spoken to Robert Morris representatives gauging their potential interest. There is little question that, if offered, Robert Morris would accept a spot in the NIT.
But barring a stunning turn of events, that appears unlikely. That leaves the CBI and CIT, and with those two options, a quandry develops for Robert Morris head coach Andy Toole. What is the value of playing in one of the two lesser tournaments?
On the surface, the immediate reaction is to say that more basketball means more practice time, more chances to educate and develop players for next season. But that's not the only factor at play. ColonialsCorner takes a look at the attraction to all three tournaments, as well as what could convince Robert Morris to decline an invitation.
NIT
Format: 32 teams seeded in four pods, 1-8. Played at home of higher seed until semifinal round. Semifinals and finals at Madison Square Garden.
Regional/National Exposure: Games are on the ESPN family of networks.
The Draw: The NIT is guaranteed to have high quality competition, as the teams that are in either won their conference during the regular season or had a high enough profile to make it in. Even for one game, it's another high profile event to help sell the school, the basketball program, and more. Media coverage is intense enough that a good showing can do wonders for a team's basketball reputation; there's little doubt that Robert Morris' strong performance in a first round loss to Syracuse in 2007-2008 helped the team the following year. Plus, since the tournament is run by the NCAA, the NIT provides funding and reimbursement for travel expenses. For small schools, that's a huge lift.
The Drawbacks: Small schools like Robert Morris won't host a game, and often will be set up to play a power conference team on the road.
CBI
Format: 16 teams, with teams bidding to host home games. Road teams are then slotted in to balance the bracket. Single-elimination until the final, which is a best-of-3. Tournament runs March 13-30.
Regional/National Exposure: Final is broadcast on HDNet, along with select other games.
The Draw: Along with getting a chance to play in a postseason tournament, there are more similar profile schools in the tournament. Last year's tournament included just four schools from large conferences. That opens it up for unique winners the past four years, ranging from Oregon last year to Saint Louis, UTEP, and Bradley in years prior.
The Drawbacks: It's a financial hit. Schools bid to host home games, and then there are travel costs. Though there is some form of a reimbursement policy, there isn't the regional guarantee of the other tournaments. They try, but it doesn't always work. Duquesne played in it last year and made it to the second round. But it came at a cost, as the Dukes traveled to Missoula, Montana and to Eugene, Oregon for their two games. Though the school might get some of that money back, that's a long way for potential fans, boosters, and auxiliary members to travel. Also, no NEC school has ever played in the CBI.
CIT
Format: 24 teams in a broken bracket, single-elimination tournament. All 24 play in the first round, then the four highest remaining seeds get the next round off before resuming play in the quarterfinals. Runs from March 13-28.
Regional/National Exposure: Select games, including the final, televised on Fox College Sports.
The Draw: Unlike the CBI, which has a few power conference ringers every year, this one is specifically geared toward mid-majors. Not one power conference school has participated since the tournament was founded three years ago. That allows teams to accurately gauge where they stand with similar profile teams, rather than hope for an upset or two against a program with more resources. The CIT also has established a relationship with the NEC, as Quinnipiac played in 2011 and Mount St. Mary's participated in 2009. Plus, with 24 schools, it's larger than the CBI, allowing for greater odds of participating.
The Drawback: Like the CBI, the CIT requires host teams to pay to host. However, the CIT is much better than the CBI at establishing regional games in the early rounds. That said, there's no guarantee of that, as Rider played at Northern Iowa last year. Also, as far as using the postseason experience as a launching bad, though they participated, neither Quinnipiac nor Mount St. Mary's used the experience to much success the following season.
THE X-FACTOR: Andy Toole has a difficult decision to make. It's doubtful Robert Morris forks over the cash to host a game in any of these tournaments, leaving them on the road.
Then there's the injury factor. Velton Jones, Mike McFadden, Lucky Jones, Lijah Thompson, and David Appolon are all hurt. Appolon's ankle prevented him from playing or practicing since before the NEC Tournament. Thompson's injured foot, which he's been playing on after breaking it twice, likely will require surgery. Lucky Jones and Mike McFadden were battered pretty hard Wednesday night and could use some time off. Then there's Velton Jones. How bad are his ribs? He was obviously effected Wednesday after taking the fall, and he was already being managed because he takes so much punishment.
If there's no NIT bid, with significantly less exposure, is it worth putting those guys through additional practices?
Some would argue that additional exposure for guys like Lucky, Brandon Herman, Keith Armstrong, and others would help. But the next step for them is to earn more playing time in practice, to get stronger and more mentally aware. To do that now would require Toole to change his approach, to back his horses off and adopt a teaching method rather than his ultra-competitive "earn your minutes in practice" method that he's adopted since taking over.
Toole's always teaching in practice, though it often comes at a high volume with colorful language. But sometimes the best way to learn something is to take a step back, to unplug for a stretch of time and come at it fresh. Doing that over the summer with a heartbreaking loss in their minds might be the best way for some of Toole's younger charges to learn what it takes at the Division I level.
That's the challenge in front of Toole. The next three days will consist of plenty of discussions with the Robert Morris coaching staff's office. It'll come down to weighing the risk of additional injuries or a hit to the financial coffers versus setting the team up for next year and additional exposure.
It's far from an easy decision.