I'm not saying they were a fluke. I'm saying what they were. They were a team that started rolling from week 17 into the playoffs and went on a good run. In the season they were shit.
Their wins during the season were:
1. San Fran - Division
2. Miami - Legit win
3. Buffalo
4. Dallas - Legit Win
5. St. Louis - Division
6. San Fran - Division
7. Seattle - Division
8. St. Louis - Division
9. Seattle - Division
6 of their 9 wins came out of their crappy division. Put them in any other division last season and they wouldn't have made the playoffs. Their only legit wins are against Miami and Dallas (I put Dallas because that was before Romo's injury).
On top of that they got beat by Washington who didn't make the playoffs, stomped by the Jets who didn't make the playoffs, stomped by the Giants, stomped by the Pats, stomped by the Vikings, and stomped by the Eagles.
Yes, they won the games that mattered in the end, but that doesn't mean anything this upcoming season. With a decent Seattle team and another weapon on the Niners, you may be taking away 2 of those easy wins from last season.
And let's face it, Arizona has failed to meet expectations so many times in recent years. I don't have a hard time believing they could bust this year and win 6-8 games. I don't think they will personally, I think they'll take that division with 9 or 10 wins, but I'm not ready to put them up there with the top teams during the season.